A BLAC K SWA N is a highly improbable event
with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the
fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it
appear less random, and more predictable, than it
was. The astonishing success of Google was a
black swan; so was 9/11. For Nassim Nicholas
Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything
about our world, from the rise of religions to
events in our own personal lives.
Why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon
of black swans until after they occur? Part of the
answer, according to Taleb, is that humans are
hardwired to learn specifics when they should
be focused on generalities... 

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